Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.000140 0.000157 0.000174 0.000194 0.000217 0.000241 0.000269
2025-08-17 0.000117 0.000138 0.000163 0.000194 0.000229 0.000270 0.000321
2025-08-24 0.000098 0.000123 0.000152 0.000190 0.000238 0.000295 0.000369
2025-08-31 0.000084 0.000111 0.000144 0.000189 0.000247 0.000321 0.000421
2025-09-07 0.000074 0.000102 0.000138 0.000188 0.000257 0.000348 0.000477
2025-09-14 0.000065 0.000093 0.000131 0.000186 0.000264 0.000371 0.000529
2025-09-21 0.000060 0.000088 0.000129 0.000189 0.000278 0.000404 0.000597
2025-09-28 0.000055 0.000083 0.000125 0.000190 0.000289 0.000434 0.000663
2025-10-05 0.000049 0.000078 0.000121 0.000189 0.000296 0.000458 0.000722
2025-10-12 0.000046 0.000075 0.000120 0.000193 0.000312 0.000496 0.000804
2025-10-19 0.000043 0.000071 0.000117 0.000194 0.000321 0.000524 0.000873
2025-10-26 0.000040 0.000068 0.000114 0.000194 0.000330 0.000552 0.000945
2025-11-02 0.000036 0.000064 0.000110 0.000192 0.000334 0.000574 0.001010
2025-11-09 0.000034 0.000061 0.000108 0.000193 0.000345 0.000608 0.001096
2025-11-16 0.000031 0.000057 0.000104 0.000191 0.000350 0.000631 0.001166
2025-11-23 0.000029 0.000055 0.000101 0.000190 0.000356 0.000658 0.001245
2025-11-30 0.000027 0.000052 0.000099 0.000190 0.000365 0.000688 0.001334
2025-12-07 0.000025 0.000049 0.000095 0.000188 0.000369 0.000712 0.001411
2025-12-14 0.000024 0.000048 0.000095 0.000191 0.000384 0.000755 0.001529
2025-12-21 0.000022 0.000047 0.000094 0.000192 0.000394 0.000792 0.001638
2025-12-28 0.000021 0.000044 0.000091 0.000191 0.000400 0.000819 0.001730
2026-01-04 0.000020 0.000044 0.000091 0.000195 0.000417 0.000870 0.001874
2026-01-11 0.000019 0.000042 0.000090 0.000196 0.000426 0.000906 0.001988